UFC 116: Early Predictions/Analysis for Brock Lesnar VS Shane Carwin
Here’s my completely amateur, bandwagon jumper, couch coach analysis : )
From a psychological standpoint, Carwin has gotten this far by punching people into oblivion and I would assume sees no reason to fix something that ain’t broke. I think he also believes that Brock will try to stand up with him, giving him an advantage over a guy who just got back from injury and has not had a tune up fight (which worked like gangbusters for Rampage).
However, I think Lesnar is talking tough about throwing leather and his real game plan is to stay in the clinch with Carwin, limit his striking and wrestle him to the ground. If he can keep Carwin off of his game and out-wrestle the guy I believe Lesnar wins by either submission or decision.
However, after being away for a while (and nearly dying) who knows how good Lesnar’s chin is so if Carwin wallops him early, then there you go. If Lesnar has little to no chin, Carwin in the first round. If he does, he’ll probably win like I said above, by submission or decision. I do not see Lesnar being able to knock Carwin out (but stranger things have happened and I could be wrong).
And now, the reason I wrote this post in the first place, here’s my first attempt at modern home video editing! Enjoy.